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Assuming that the ends of a range of estimates are +/- 3 sigma from the mean, which of the following range estimates involves the LEAST risk?

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30 days, plus or minus 5 days

22 – 30 days

Optimistic = 26 days, most likely = 30 days, pessimistic = 33 days

Mean of 28 days

The estimate with the smallest range is less risky.

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