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Your team is constantly failing to meet commitments, and its performance velocity is volatile. What might the possible reasons be?

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This question basically addresses various issues. There are many possible factors that might combine to make a team’s velocity volatile, like:

New team members are being hired

Team members are leaving

Levels of seniority in the team is causing issues

Working in uncharted territory

Working with legacy code, probably undocumented

Unexpected technical debt

Wy to many holidays and sick leave

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